KBRA Comments on Spanish RMBS Exposure to DANA Flooding

DUBLIN--()--KBRA Europe (KBRA) releases a comment assessing the limited exposure in its rated Spanish RMBS transactions to recent destructive flooding in Spain.

Torrential rains in eastern Spain, caused by the Depresión de Alta Nubosidad (DANA) weather phenomenon in late October, resulted in flash flooding and the destruction of homes and infrastructure, displacing many residents in the province of Valencia. In response to the crisis, the Spanish government issued a decree identifying 78 municipalities as affected and introducing a series of measures to support the recovery. Among other measures (including tax benefits, social security incentives, and public guarantees), the decree introduces a payment holiday for principal and interest for three months, followed by a subsequent payment holiday limited to principal for the next nine months.

The Almeria region in southern Spain was also impacted by heavy flooding earlier this month, damaging infrastructure and homes, with 34 municipalities identified as affected. Recovery measures similar to those implemented in Valencia have been extended to affected municipalities. In addition, an extension of the principal moratorium by 12 months may be granted, and borrowers may also seek an extension of the term of the loan by seven years along with a reduction in the interest rate. The Málaga area in southern Spain was similarly impacted, but recovery measures and a detailed list of affected municipalities have not yet been announced.

The Insurance Compensation Consortium (Consorcio de Compensacion de Seguros, or Insurance Consortium) reported on 15 November that 191,196 indemnification requests have been received and registered, of which 183,455 (95.9%) are from the Valencia region, for the DANA-caused damages. Of the total indemnification requests, 60,855 (31.8%) relate to residential dwellings, while the majority relate to transport units (60.3%). The Insurance Consortium estimates EUR3.5 billion is needed to cover these losses. KBRA is aware that the banking industry in Spain is considering further measures that may offer other suitable forbearance in addition to the public moratorium.

KBRA currently has outstanding ratings on two Spanish RMBS transactions. We estimated the percentage of potentially affected loans (by the loans’ current balance) in these transactions by mapping the property postal codes of the current loan population to the 111 municipalities identified in Spain’s Royal Decree Law (RDL) 6/2024 and RDL 7/2024. As such, KBRA estimates that the potentially affected loan population in its rated Spanish RMBS is as follows:

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Contacts

Kali Sirugudi, Managing Director
+44 20 8148 1050
kali.sirugudi@kbra.com

Tomas Cruz, Associate
+353 1 588 1188
tomas.cruz@kbra.com

Hrishikesh Oturkar, Director
+44 20 8148 1070
hrishikesh.oturkar@kbra.com

Jack Kahan, Senior Managing Director, Global Head of ABS & RMBS
+1 646-731-2486
jack.kahan@kbra.com

Business Development Contacts

Mauricio Noé, Co-Head of Europe
+44 20 8148 1010
mauricio.noe@kbra.com

Miten Amin, Managing Director
+44 20 8148 1002
miten.amin@kbra.com

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Contacts

Kali Sirugudi, Managing Director
+44 20 8148 1050
kali.sirugudi@kbra.com

Tomas Cruz, Associate
+353 1 588 1188
tomas.cruz@kbra.com

Hrishikesh Oturkar, Director
+44 20 8148 1070
hrishikesh.oturkar@kbra.com

Jack Kahan, Senior Managing Director, Global Head of ABS & RMBS
+1 646-731-2486
jack.kahan@kbra.com

Business Development Contacts

Mauricio Noé, Co-Head of Europe
+44 20 8148 1010
mauricio.noe@kbra.com

Miten Amin, Managing Director
+44 20 8148 1002
miten.amin@kbra.com