KBRA Releases Research – CMBS Loan Performance Trends: August 2023

NEW YORK--()--KBRA releases a report on U.S. commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) loan performance trends observed in the August 2023 servicer reporting period. The delinquency rate among KBRA-rated U.S. CMBS in August reached 4.16% as it topped 4%. There was a meaningful month-over-month (MoM) jump of 23 basis points (bps) on the heels of July’s 34-bp increase. However, the total delinquent and specially serviced loan rate had a smaller 1-bp MoM increase, reaching 6.45%, as nearly $900 million of last month’s $18.1 billion of specially serviced loans were returned to the master servicer or liquidated, which helped keep the overall rate in line with last month.

In August, CMBS loans totaling $1.8 billion were either transferred to special servicing or became newly delinquent, 32.8% ($603.9 million) of which was due to imminent or actual maturity default. Office continues to have the highest exposure, accounting for 41.4% ($762.3 million) of the newly specially serviced and newly delinquent loans, while retail came in second at 26.6% ($489.1 million), and mixed-use was third at 15.4% ($283.8 million).

Other key observations of the August 2023 performance data are as follows:

  • All property types, excluding retail and industrial, have seen an increase in the MoM delinquency rate. Notably, mixed-use properties saw an 82-bp delinquency rate increase, another sharp increase after July’s 201-bp jump. This includes the 30-day delinquency of the $215 million 681 Fifth Avenue loan, secured by a mixed-use retail and office property in New York City. The loan is participated across five conduits.
  • The 22-bp decrease in the current and specially serviced rate was the result of a handful of larger maturity defaults that were successfully extended and returned to the master servicer. These include The Shops at Mission Viejo ($291.1 million in RBSCF 2013-SMV), Westfield MainPlace ($140 million in UBSBM 2012-WRM), and 515 Madison Avenue ($96.3 million in WFRBS 2013-C11). The overall decline was offset by the 61-bp increase of the other property type category, mostly due to 515 Madison Avenue ($96.2 million in WFRBS 2013-C11), a leased-fee interest that was transferred to the special servicer.

In this report, KBRA provides observations across our $316.7 billion rated universe of U.S. private label CMBS including conduits, single-asset single borrower (SASB), and large loan (LL) transactions.

Click here to view the report.

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Contacts

Contacts

Cammy Wan, Senior Analyst, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 646-731-3327
cammy.wan@kbra.com

Roy Chun, Senior Managing Director, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 646-731-2376
roy.chun@kbra.com

Business Development Contact

Dan Stallone, Senior Director
+1 646-731-1308
daniel.stallone@kbra.com

Contacts

Contacts

Cammy Wan, Senior Analyst, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 646-731-3327
cammy.wan@kbra.com

Roy Chun, Senior Managing Director, CMBS Ratings Surveillance
+1 646-731-2376
roy.chun@kbra.com

Business Development Contact

Dan Stallone, Senior Director
+1 646-731-1308
daniel.stallone@kbra.com