DUBLIN--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/b676b475/country_risk_servi) has announced the addition of the "Country Risk Service Iraq Updater" report to their offering.
The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the political situation in Iraq to remain unstable. Following the withdrawal of US forces, there will be intermittent spikes in violence, but we do not expect a repeat of the sectarian conflict that engulfed Iraq in 2006-07. The March 2010 parliamentary election failed to produce a clear winner and resulted in months of intense negotiation and a bitter political impasse. In November 2010 an agreement was finally reached to form a government of national unity, headed once more by Nouri al-Maliki, but including key Shia, Sunni and Kurdish partners. Tensions between the Arab parties and the Kurdistan Regional Government will persist, as the proposed referendum on the future of the province of Kirkuk, as well as several other disputed areas, continues to be delayed. Meanwhile, despite the oil sector's aging infrastructure (and institutional hostility to foreign involvement), output should be lifted by the coming on stream of newly developed oilfields in Iraqi Kurdistan and incremental increases in existing fields in the south. Overall, real GDP growth should strengthen, as economic activity recovers in areas that are spared the impact of Iraq's violent power struggles, and investment in a range of oil and infrastructure projects picks up.
Key Topics Covered:
Overview
Key changes from last month
Political outlook
Economic policy outlook
Economic forecast
Risk assessment
Sovereign risk
Currency risk
Banking sector risk
Political risk
Economic structure risk
Rating definitions
Sovereign risk
Currency risk
Banking sector risk
Political risk
Economic structure risk
Overall country risk
Central scenario for 2012-16: Political stability
Central scenario for 2012-16: Election watch
Central scenario for 2012-16: International relations
Central scenario for 2012-16: Policy trends
Central scenario for 2012-16: Fiscal policy
Central scenario for 2012-16: Monetary policy
Central scenario for 2012-16: Economic growth
Central scenario for 2012-16: Inflation
Central scenario for 2012-16: Exchange rates
Central scenario for 2012-16: External sector
Key risk indicators
Ratings summary
Quarterly indicators
International assumptions summary
Economic structure
Public finances
Exchange rates, interest rates and prices
Financial sector
Current account
International liquidity
Foreign payment and liquidity indicators
External trade
External financing requirement
External debt stock
External debt service
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